An Intuitive Assessment of Egypt
Posted by Jason Apollo Voss on Jan 30, 2011 in Blog, Intuitive Assessment | 0 commentsThe unfolding revolution in Egypt is a perfect situation for using intuition to assess a situation. There are so many facts to assess, yet none of them tell you in advance what is going to actually happen.
Tuning into the cosmic radio station (as I refer to it in my book, The Intuitive Investor) here is what I find happening in Egypt:
- Order is finally present. While there are still outbreaks of protest on the periphery, the overwhelming majority of Egyptians are now sitting on the sidelines wanting the situation resolved.
- It feels like the order is coming from the military of Egypt. This is not a bad thing. The military is generally a secular institution in Egypt and has been the guarantor of safety since the days of Nasser.
- The military is not interested in a military dictatorship, but in a society and culture that is stable and that works for most Egyptians.
- Hosni Mubarak is not in charge in Egypt any longer even though he is yet to resign. To me, his predominate focus is not on re-establishing himself or establishing his son as President. Instead, it feels as if he is making arrangements to leave Egypt.
- It feels as if his departure will happen before Wednesday. Depending on the situation on the Street the military will begin meeting with political forces to craft the future of Egypt.
- Post this revolution Egypt will be a more democratic, stronger nation and a nation that will assert itself more regionally in a primarily cultural values way.
- It won’t be until mid-Spring that the new Egypt begins to root itself. In the meantime there will be tremendous anxiousness on the part of Egyptians.
Corrupting influences: The intuitive process requires a very unbiased, open mind and with Egypt it is more difficult for me. My wife and I honeymooned in Egypt and it is our favorite foreign country. I certainly want to see a peaceful and mutually fantastic outcome for all Egyptians. This is a potential source of bias in my assessment.
What could change? I am a firm believer in the intuitive process to reveal the essential mood and vector of a portion of the collective consciousness. However, that everyone has free-will means that the situation is very fluid. In moments of flux like this where the atmosphere is palpably flammable minor events can spark dramatic, unwanted and of course, unseen outcomes.
I will continue to track the situation and update my views if I feel there is any significant shift.
Jason