In Egypt Obama’s Between a Rock and a Hard Place

There has been nearly unanimous criticism of U.S. President Barack Obama’s handling of the revolution in Egypt.  However, I think a real reckoning of the situation reveals that the situation is enormously complex and any action requires careful consideration....

The fractures in the EU are showing more

This past week various leaders of the European Union have been meeting to create a structure for preventing future economic crises.  Also important was their effort to try and create a framework for how to deal with crises when they do unfold.   Most of us who...

You can’t take the human out of quant models

Clearly you don’t write a blog entitled “What My Intuition Tells Me Now” and rely solely on quantitative methods.  As the retired co-portfolio manager of the Davis Appreciation and Income fund I learned very early in my career that facts would only...

Unemployment data for January

This morning the January unemployment data was released by the Department of Labor.  I am guessing that most pundits are going to focus on the low number of net jobs added by all of the various economic sectors.   Specifically, total non-farm payrolls increased...