GDP figures misleading

Friday saw the first pass at estimating U.S. GDP for the fourth quarter and the number looks outstanding. GDP grew 5.7% in the fourth quarter. Analysis: To put that 5.7% figure into perspective you need to know that on average GDP grows around 3% +/- 1.5%. That is,...

Clawbacks a step in the right direction

Long have I decried that financial industry employees, especially its executives, are improperly compensated. Specifically the employees typically are incentivized in such a way that they can only breakeven or gain huge amounts of money. Very rarely are they punished...

Emergence from recession?

The economy of the United Kingdom has technically exited recession by posting fourth quarter 2009 economic growth of 0.1% over the third quarter of 2009. However, this result is far below the consensus expectation of 0.4% growth. Analysis: Growth of 0.1% in a quarter...

Plunge in existing home sales

The month of December saw a huge month-to-month decline of 16.7% in the sales of existing homes. Analysis: While the magnitude of this decline surprised many economists, most of them had predicted a decline. Because many people had expected the U.S. government first...