{"id":1903,"date":"2010-10-22T10:15:20","date_gmt":"2010-10-22T14:15:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jasonapollovoss.local\/?p=1903"},"modified":"2018-08-17T14:05:21","modified_gmt":"2018-08-17T18:05:21","slug":"economic-growth-in-germany-revised-upward","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/2010\/10\/22\/economic-growth-in-germany-revised-upward\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic growth in Germany revised upward"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Good morning everyone!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Yesterday the Germans announced that they were revising their economic growth forecasts for 2010 upward from 1.4% to 3.4%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Analysis: This is very substantive news for the worldwide economic recovery.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">First of all, Germany is one of the world&#8217;s largest economies. So a more than doubling of its forecast is an additional $billions in growth.<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Second, the German economy is largely export driven. For growth forecasts to have boosted this much must mean that the rest of the world is more in a buying mood than before.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Third, for a more than doubling increase in the current year forecast to have been announced this late in 2010 means two things:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">The Germans are clearly confident that the ultimate tally is pretty much &#8220;in the bank;&#8221; and&#8230;<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">That the Germans clearly had a screamingly good third quarter. Think about it, if entering the third quarter your estimate were 1.4% growth and exiting that same quarter you more than double your estimates, something good must have happened.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Fourth, many investment pundits have been panicky about Europe ever since it was revealed that the Greeks lie about their finances and can&#8217;t live within their governmental means. The theory was that Greece&#8217;s problems would spread like wildfire and take out Italy, Portugal and Spain. Then all of Europe would fall, then the WORLD!!!!! The sky is falling, the sky&#8230;didn&#8217;t. Not only did Germany step into the middle of the European debt crisis and say, &#8220;the euro stops here,&#8221; they did so when their economic forecasts were much worse. Their move back in May calmed overly caffeinated investors. Now growth is better. So fears of a European debt crisis MUST be taken off of the table.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">In conclusion, there must have been a &#8220;tipping point&#8221; for the world&#8217;s economy in the third quarter, as represented by German economic growth.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">One of the scions of the investment firm I used to work for used to say, &#8220;You make most of your money in a downturn, you just don&#8217;t know it until later.&#8221; Have you been investing?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Importance grade: 9; yesterday&#8217;s news is very important, but the most important data remains the U.S. unemployment rate.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">I hope that each of you has an excellent weekend!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Jason<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Author of The Intuitive Investor: A Radical Guide for Manifesting Wealth<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Good morning everyone! Yesterday the Germans announced that they were revising their economic growth forecasts for 2010 upward from 1.4% to 3.4%. Analysis: This is very substantive news for the worldwide economic recovery. First of all, Germany is one of the world&#8217;s largest economies. So a more than doubling of its forecast is an [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1903","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1903","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1903"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1903\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1903"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1903"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1903"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}