{"id":425,"date":"2010-05-17T08:56:00","date_gmt":"2010-05-17T12:56:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.intuitiveinvestor.com\/web\/?p=425"},"modified":"2018-08-18T17:57:30","modified_gmt":"2018-08-18T21:57:30","slug":"update-on-recent-iranigans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/2010\/05\/17\/update-on-recent-iranigans\/","title":{"rendered":"Update on recent Iranigans"},"content":{"rendered":"

Loyal readers of the blog know that last fall I was tracking very closely Iran’s nuclear power and weapons ambitions.\u00a0 I believed very strongly that there was a possibility for a hot war to emerge in the Persian Gulf.\u00a0 Instead a cold war seemed to be the course of action chosen by the Obama administration.\u00a0 However, even that may be a moot point now.<\/span><\/p>\n

Very early this morning, a deal was announced between the countries of Turkey, Brazil and Iran.\u00a0 Turkey and Brazil are currently two of the non-permanent members of the United Nations Security Council.\u00a0 Thus, the deal has the imprimatur of having been done within the bounds of the international community.\u00a0 The deal seems to suggest that Iran has agreed to one of the terms of the international community for resolving its nuclear crisis.\u00a0 The deal agreed to has Iran shipping its low-enriched uranium to Turkey for reprocessing.\u00a0 The enriched fuel rod would then be sent back to\u00a0Iran refined only enough for commercial, not\u00a0weapons applications.\u00a0 Importantly, the deal has Turkey serving as the country where the reprocessing takes place, rather than Iran, which had been a sticking point.\u00a0 This is in accord with requirements made by the U.S. and European nations last fall.<\/span><\/p>\n

Iran has not agreed to end its uranium enrichment program.\u00a0 So\u00a0it remains to be seen whether or not this deal will be accepted by the western powers that have been confronting Iran.\u00a0 Also unclear at this time is what sort of monitoring the Iranians have agreed to accept.\u00a0 For any deal to be palatable to the United States and others, it would need to allow for other nations to continually monitor Iran.\u00a0 Otherwise, Iran could continue to develop uranium enrichment programs secretly in order to ultimately have the Bomb.<\/span><\/p>\n

This deal has massive geopolitical ramifications if accepted by the U.S. and others.\u00a0 First, Iran has been rattling its sabers in Iraq putting into question the wisdom of a U.S. troop withdrawal in August.\u00a0 Second, Iran also holds cards for the war effort in Afghanistan because it provides one of the shortest logistical routes into the country.\u00a0 Third, Iran has the ability to send Lebanon and consequently, Israel, into paroxysms.\u00a0 Iran and the United States have been sounding off against one another for over a year because of these issues.\u00a0 So Iran’s compliance\u00a0on the nuclear issue\u00a0likely indicates U.S. acceptance of Iranian demands elsewhere, especially in Iraq.\u00a0 Time will tell.\u00a0 I will continue to monitor this situation closely.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jason<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Loyal readers of the blog know that last fall I was tracking very closely Iran’s nuclear power and weapons ambitions.\u00a0 I believed very strongly that there was a possibility for a hot war to emerge in the Persian Gulf.\u00a0 Instead a cold war seemed to be the course of action chosen by the Obama administration.\u00a0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/425","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=425"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/425\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}