{"id":4497,"date":"2011-07-11T09:48:30","date_gmt":"2011-07-11T15:48:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jasonapollovoss.local\/?p=4497"},"modified":"2018-09-21T02:05:40","modified_gmt":"2018-09-21T06:05:40","slug":"greek-debt-risk-still-present-revisited","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/2011\/07\/11\/greek-debt-risk-still-present-revisited\/","title":{"rendered":"Greek Debt Risk Still Present revisited"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">I won&#8217;t say I told you so, but I will highlight that just one week ago on 4 July, 2011 I said that &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web2011\/07\/04\/what-my-intuition-tells-me-now-greek-debt-risk-still-present\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Greek debt risk [was] still present<\/a>,&#8221; specifically saying:<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">&#8220;Last week the Standard &amp; Poors 500 Index surged 5.6% having almost everything to do with the possibility of a resolution to the Greek debt crisis.\u00a0 Most market participants felt that the situation was resolved.\u00a0 You might have noticed that I did not blog about the possible solutions being bandied about.\u00a0 Why?<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">&#8220;Because frankly European solutions to eurozone or European Union issues tend not to be ones of substance.\u00a0 Instead, they tend to push into the future a decision that could and should be made today.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">So today global financial markets are awash in news that the &#8220;plan&#8221; that had been agreed to is unraveling.\u00a0 For example, the Financial Times is carrying a story with the headline: &#8220;EU stance shifts on Greece default: Possible end to French-backed plan for debt roll-over.&#8221;\u00a0 By point of contrast, I wrote last week:<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">&#8220;Additionally, the word on the Street \u2013 and here I mean Wall Street and other financial streets \u2013 is that many banks are less than thrilled with the coercive (preliminary) solution that was predominately brokered by France.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">What is the natural consequence of fears of the plan potentially coming unraveled?\u00a0 That&#8217;s right, financial markets around the world are in sell off mode.\u00a0 At the time of this post the DJIA is down 1.07%, the S&amp;P 500 is down 1.50%, the NASDAQ is down 1.86%, and the euro relative to the U.S. dollar is at a 7-week low.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Additionally, many traders are reporting a fear of a debt contagion in Europe as the attention of investors is now shifting to Portugal, Italy and Spain.\u00a0 Again, the weakness in these economies, coupled with high amounts of debt, is something I have been talking about for over a year.\u00a0 See, for example, my post on 10 February, 2010 entitled: &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web2010\/02\/10\/moment-of-crisis-for-the-eu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Moment of Crisis for the EU<\/a>.&#8221;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">The problem with forestalling an honest realization of issues in life is that dishonesty requires more dishonesty in order to perpetuate itself.\u00a0 In turn, that makes the eventual reckoning that much more painful.\u00a0 Ouch!<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Separately, you may have heard that debt negotiations in the U.S. are at an impasse &#8211; a French word meaning &#8220;broken down&#8221; &#8211; and that the parties are very far apart in their discussions.\u00a0 Nothing like a little game of American roulette to increase the confidence in your economic situation, eh?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">So as I have been saying for awhile: we aren&#8217;t past <a href=\"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web2011\/06\/21\/what-my-intuition-tells-me-now-update-on-the-twin-debt-fears\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the twin debt crises of Greece and the United States<\/a>, yet.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Jason<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">[To Citizen John: do you feel better now?\u00a0 Your assessment was an accurate one!]<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; I won&#8217;t say I told you so, but I will highlight that just one week ago on 4 July, 2011 I said that &#8220;Greek debt risk [was] still present,&#8221; specifically saying: &#8220;Last week the Standard &amp; Poors 500 Index surged 5.6% having almost everything to do with the possibility of a resolution to the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4497","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4497"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4497\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4497"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4497"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4497"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}