{"id":5181,"date":"2011-12-30T23:35:35","date_gmt":"2011-12-31T04:35:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.jasonapollovoss.local\/?p=5181"},"modified":"2018-09-21T02:04:31","modified_gmt":"2018-09-21T06:04:31","slug":"leadership-lesson-for-the-eurozone-the-rule-of-small-groups","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/2011\/12\/30\/leadership-lesson-for-the-eurozone-the-rule-of-small-groups\/","title":{"rendered":"Leadership Lesson for the Eurozone: The Rule of Small Groups"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Beginning with psychologist <a title=\"George Armitage Miller\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/George_Armitage_Miller\">George A. Miller<\/a>\u2019s seminal 1956 paper, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.musanim.com\/miller1956\/\"><em>The Magic Number Seven, Plus or Minus Two: Some Limits on Our Capacity for Processing Information<\/em><\/a>, scholars have consistently demonstrated that we human beings seem to have an upper limit to our ability to process information, especially within groups. For this reason, when it comes to group decision making, Miller argued, seven is the magic number. \u201cThere seems to be some limitation built into us either by learning or by the design of our nervous systems,&#8221; wrote Miller, \u201ca limit that keeps our channel capacities in this general range.\u201d Anthropologist Gregory A. Johnson, author of <a href=\"http:\/\/eclectic.ss.uci.edu\/~drwhite\/ISCOM\/GAJ1-17.pdf\"><em>Organizational Structure and Scalar Stress<\/em><\/a>, also reached essentially the same conclusion, although he caps the size of effective groups at a slightly smaller number, six.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Unfortunately, the spheres of investing and economic policy making do not account for this dynamic. Imagine the many groups that financial professionals encounter in their careers \u2014 boards of directors, investment committees, the G-20, and even the eurozone, to name just a few \u2014 and how important it is that these groups function and make decisions effectively. They often ignore the rule of small groups, however, causing the decision-making process to be cumbersome and often ineffectual.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><!--more-->So what is it about the number seven, plus or minus a person or two? Researchers across many disciplines have developed a working theory: the number of relationships through which information is exchanged grows exponentially with each additional group member, and the human brain is limited in its ability to function under such complex situations.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Studies nearer to finance have found an upper limit of seven as well. Consider, for example, <a title=\"Does Optimal Corporate Board Size Exist? An Empirical Analysis\" href=\"http:\/\/69.175.2.130\/%7Efinman\/Publications\/JAF\/2010\/Ning.pdf\"><em>Does Optimal Corporate Board Size Exist? An Empirical Analysis<\/em><\/a>, by <a title=\"Yixi Ning\" href=\"http:\/\/www.uhv.edu\/bus\/facultystaff\/spotlight.asp?id=-1228205391\">Yixi Ning<\/a>, <a title=\"Wallace N. Davidson III\" href=\"http:\/\/business.siu.edu\/depts\/fin\/faculty\/Pages\/davidson.aspx\">Wallace N. Davidson III<\/a>, and <a title=\"Jifu Wang\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/jifu-wang-7718802\">Jifu Wang<\/a>, in which they state, \u201cWe find a consistent and inverse firm performance board size association (<em>t<\/em> =-2.04, significant at 0.05 level). . . . We find consistent and inverse firm value board association across all three board size categories even when we control for board composition, CEO characteristics, inside ownership, firm size, firm performance, yearly effects, and industry effects.\u201d In other words, the lower the number of board members the higher the value of the business, with the reverse also being true.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Correlation Between Board Size and Value of a Business<\/span><\/h4>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><\/p>\n<style type=\"text\/css\">.jptab1 { font-size: 1em; } .jptab1 th { \/* border: 1px solid gray; \/**\/ padding: 0.5em; vertical-align: top; background-color: #c0c0c0; text-align: center; } .jptab1 td { \/* border: 1px solid gray; \/**\/ border-top: 1px solid gray; padding: 0.3em; vertical-align: top; text-align: center; } .jptab1 td.skip { border-style: none; } .jptab1 th + th { border-left: 1px solid white; } .jptab1 th { border-bottom: 1px solid white; } .jptab1 td + td { border-left: 1px solid gray; } <\/style>\n<p><\/span><\/p>\n<table class=\"jptab1\" style=\"width: 80%; margin: auto;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Board Size<\/span><\/th>\n<th><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Coefficient<\/span><\/th>\n<th><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><em>t<\/em><\/span><\/th>\n<th><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Significant at<\/span><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">&lt;= 7<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">-1.441<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">-3.75<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">0.001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">8-11<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">-0.734<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">-2.99<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">0.01<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">&gt;= 12<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">-0.300<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">-1.69<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">0.10<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: smaller; margin-left: 10%;\"><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><em>Source:<\/em> <a title=\"Does Optimal Corporate Board Size Exist? An Empirical Analysis\" href=\"http:\/\/69.175.2.130\/~finman\/Publications\/JAF\/2010\/Ning.pdf\"><em>Does Optimal Corporate Board Size Exist? An Empirical Analysis.<\/em><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Researchers have also found that investment committees typically deliver better results to shareholders when their size is seven, plus or minus two. According to <a title=\"Investment Committees: More than the Sum of the Parts\" href=\"https:\/\/www.am-a.com\/company\/research\/wp_investment_committees_2010.pdf\"><em>Investment Committees: More than the Sum of the Parts<\/em><\/a>, a compilation of research on the subject compiled by private wealth management firm Arnerich Massena, \u201cBeyond a group size of four to seven members, larger groups become unwieldy and the disadvantages substantively outweigh any added value.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Critically, studies find that groups can be effective when the size exceeds seven members, but only if a hierarchical structure exists. Johnson wrote, \u201cThe development of within-group leadership (hierarchical organization) appears to be most common in groups of six individuals.\u201d Whereas, \u201chorizontally organized (non-hierarchical) groups of greater than six members appear to be under some kind of stress as evidenced by decreasing consensus in decision making and decreasing member satisfaction with group performance.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Johnson concludes, \u201cThere appear, then, to be rather severe limits on the maximum size of task-oriented groups that are organized (non-hierarchically), and these limits may be related to individual information-processing capacity. A wide variety of studies suggests than an effective limitation of group size is somewhere around six group members.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Research into the functional limits of group size has important implications directly proportionate with the magnitude of importance of the group. For example, the decision to expand the G-8 to the G-20 may have been potentially disastrous. However, most reports have stated that the G-20 has adopted a more hierarchical structure in which several nations dominate the discussions. It\u2019s likely that this helps to ensure greater efficacy in decision making.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Conversely, the eurozone\u2019s 17 nations have adopted a consensus decision-making structure; something that studies have consistently demonstrated reduces the effectiveness of groups. Perhaps not surprisingly, the eurozone has had difficulties in crafting a policy and economic response to the greater European Union sovereign debt crisis.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">In fact, many participants in the eurozone talks have complained about the ineffectiveness of the group apparatus. Even though internal decision making appears to be hierarchical, favoring Germany and France, externally, each member must agree upon a course of action.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Again, perhaps not surprisingly, one of the many areas for future discussion for the eurozone \u2014 if it survives its current crisis \u2014 is a decision-making structure that does not rely upon consensus. Researchers around the world, from anthropologists to business school professors, would no doubt recommend a group of eurozone decision makers made up of seven members, plus or minus two.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Of course, convincing eurozone politicians of the merits of this structure is a different story.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><em>Jennifer Curry of CFA Institute substantially contributed to this piece.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"><em>Originally published on CFA Institute\u2019s \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.cfainstitute.org\/investor\/\">Enterprising Investor<\/a>.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Beginning with psychologist George A. Miller\u2019s seminal 1956 paper, The Magic Number Seven, Plus or Minus Two: Some Limits on Our Capacity for Processing Information, scholars have consistently demonstrated that we human beings seem to have an upper limit to our ability to process information, especially within groups. For this reason, when it comes to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[74,75,109,110],"class_list":["post-5181","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-blog","tag-european-union","tag-eurozone","tag-g-20","tag-the-magic-number-seven"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5181","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5181"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5181\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5181"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5181"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jasonapollovoss.com\/web\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5181"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}