Real Risk Management: All Risks are Future Risks

In summary of my series so far on Real Risk Management, each of us subjectively has preferences. These preferences, coupled with our chosen contexts, are what creates risk. As an example, if I choose to “beat the market” I have a chosen context of financial markets, and a preference to beat the performance of that market. The risk I’ve created is that I under perform. This may sound...
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Real Risk Management: Subjectivity vs. Objectivity

In this series on real risk management I have covered the importance of both contexts and preferences with regard to investment risk. First, I argued that quantitative data must match qualitatively chosen contexts. Next, I argued that those qualitatively chosen contexts are driven by our preferences, and that risk only exists due to our preferences. However, lurking in the shadows throughout...
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The Sarasota Institute’s first white paper published!

Many of you who follow me and my work know that I am the co-founder of The Sarasota Institute, a 21st Century Thinktank. I am proud to announce the publication of our first whitepaper, The Big Issues. It provides insightful & concise commentary on tech, climate change, economics, democracy, and other crucial subjects to understand for the 21st century. I highly encourage you to download a...
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Real Risk Management: Preferences

Several weeks back I described how critical is context in risk management. I did this to bust out of the narrow confines of how financiers think about risk. As I pointed out risk in finance is most frequently thought of numerically and constrained by concepts of volatility, covariance, and value-at-risk (VAR). Having broken free of the quantity tether, I now want to briefly describe how...
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Real Risk Management: Contexts

This is the first in a multi-part series on what I call real risk management. Specifically, I want to point out the tremendous importance of context in getting risk management correctly done. But first, I have to announce that my view of risk management stands in stark contrast to how most investment professionals tend to think of risk management: volatility, covariance, value-at-risk, et al....
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Time to End the Alphabet Soup Sustainability Community

Quick, tell me the name of the investment philosophy that factors in externalities – such as air and water pollution, or social policy – into its securities’ assessments. What’s your answer? Did you say: Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR)? Socially Responsible Investment (SRI)? Impact Investing (II)? Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing? Chances are, you named one of the...
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2 November 2018: Barron’s – How to Take Fear Out of Your Investing Decisions

Me, featured in Barron’s discussing ways that investors can cope with the stresses of a falling market. The piece is entitled, “How to Take Fear Out of Your Investing Decisions.” Note: you will need a subscription in order to read the full piece.    
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